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MLSfinal

Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 12:30 AM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Austin winLong shotmiss
26.1%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
25.2%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scorehit
55.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalshit
53.3%
roughly 1 in 2
Enlace permanente

Corners

Vancouver Whitecaps — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
11.60
Shots for (last 5)
15.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

79.0%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Austin — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
8.80
Shots for (last 5)
10.00
Corners for (last 5)
3.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
20.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Austin — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
8.80
Shots for (last 5)
10.00
Corners for (last 5)
3.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
20.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Vancouver Whitecaps — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
11.60
Shots for (last 5)
15.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Vancouver Whitecaps — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
11.60
Shots for (last 5)
15.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Austin — Corners under 5.5hit
Why
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
8.80
Shots for (last 5)
10.00
Corners for (last 5)
3.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
20.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Anytime Goalscorer

Thomas Müller to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.67
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.60
Player minutes (last 5)
81.00
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

35.0%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
B. Vázquez to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.60
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player key passes (last 5)↑
0.00
Player minutes (last 5)
83.60
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

27.2%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
C. Ramirez to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
1.50
Absence rate r10↑
0.80
Player minutes (last 5)
71.60
Player key passes (last 5)
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

21.6%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente
R. Gauld to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.25
Player key passes (last 5)↑
3.40
Player minutes (last 5)↓
86.40
Player goals (last 10)
0.10
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

21.0%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

B. Stuver over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
20.00
Player saves (last 5)↑
5.60
Corners against (last 5)↑
5.60
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

55.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Y. Takaoka over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.80
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.40
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.40
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

43.8%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'40' Gol (Austin) — M. Uzuni47' Gol (Vancouver Whitecaps) — R. Gauld71' Gol (Vancouver Whitecaps) — Y. Diaby
Austin 0%
Empate 6%
Vancouver Whitecaps 94%

Al minuto 90 (1-2): local 0%, empate 6%, visitante 94%.

Predicciones anuladas (9)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Austin — Shots on Target over 2.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Vancouver Whitecaps — Shots on Target under 4.5Enlace permanente

    MLS shots-on-target paused 2026-10-16: the pooled props model never trained on MLS and under-predicted MLS shots on target by 11-16% (registry 2026-10-15, Todoist 6hmV8gr2VhFrWGh7). Withdrawn before kickoff; no outcome was known when voided.

  • Vancouver Whitecaps — Shots on Target under 5.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Austin — Shots on Target under 5.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Vancouver Whitecaps — Shots on Target over 2.5Enlace permanente

    MLS shots-on-target paused 2026-10-16: the pooled props model never trained on MLS and under-predicted MLS shots on target by 11-16% (registry 2026-10-15, Todoist 6hmV8gr2VhFrWGh7). Withdrawn before kickoff; no outcome was known when voided.

  • Vancouver Whitecaps — Shots on Target over 3.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Austin — Shots on Target over 3.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Vancouver Whitecaps — Corners under 4.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Vancouver Whitecaps winEnlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.