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MLSfinal

Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 12:30 AM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Real Salt Lake winLong shothit
39.8%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
Sporting Kansas City winLong shotmiss
36.1%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
24.1%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickhit
64.3%
roughly 3 in 5
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Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickhit
62.3%
roughly 3 in 5
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Corners

Real Salt Lake — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.80
Shots for (last 5)
13.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Sporting Kansas City — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.60
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.80
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.20
Corners against (last 5)
6.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Sporting Kansas City — Corners under 6.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.60
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.80
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.20
Corners against (last 5)
6.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Real Salt Lake — Corners under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.80
Shots for (last 5)
13.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Sporting Kansas City — Corners under 5.5miss
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.60
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.80
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.20
Corners against (last 5)
6.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Anytime Goalscorer

André Luiz to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
1.00
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.80
Player key passes (last 5)↑
1.75
Player minutes (last 5)
72.20
Absence rate r10
0.30

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

39.7%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
Diego Luna to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.50
Player key passes (last 5)↑
3.25
Player minutes (last 5)
82.80
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

26.9%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
S. Lobzhanidze to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player minutes (last 5)↑
67.00
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.10
Player key passes (last 5)
1.60
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.7%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente
Stephen Afrifa to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.25
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.10
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.40
Player minutes (last 5)
76.40
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.3%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

Rafael Cabral over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
15.60
Corners against (last 5)↑
6.80
Player saves (last 5)↓
2.60
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.3%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
S. Cleveland over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
16.20
Player saves (last 5)↓
4.40
Corners against (last 5)↑
6.20
Player minutes (last 5)
91.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.1%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'11' Gol (Real Salt Lake)11' Gol (Real Salt Lake) — M. Guilavogui14' Gol (Real Salt Lake) — S. Solans26' Gol (Sporting Kansas City) — T. Calheira61' Gol (Real Salt Lake) — M. Guilavogui
Sporting Kansas City 0%
Empate 0%
Real Salt Lake 100%

Al minuto 90 (1-3): local 0%, empate 0%, visitante 100%.

Predicciones anuladas (7)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Sporting Kansas City — Shots on Target over 2.5Enlace permanente

    MLS shots-on-target paused 2026-10-16: the pooled props model never trained on MLS and under-predicted MLS shots on target by 11-16% (registry 2026-10-15, Todoist 6hmV8gr2VhFrWGh7). Withdrawn before kickoff; no outcome was known when voided.

  • Sporting Kansas City — Shots on Target over 3.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Real Salt Lake — Shots on Target over 2.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Real Salt Lake — Shots on Target under 4.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Sporting Kansas City — Shots on Target under 4.5Enlace permanente

    MLS shots-on-target paused 2026-10-16: the pooled props model never trained on MLS and under-predicted MLS shots on target by 11-16% (registry 2026-10-15, Todoist 6hmV8gr2VhFrWGh7). Withdrawn before kickoff; no outcome was known when voided.

  • Sporting Kansas City — Shots on Target over 4.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Sporting Kansas City — Shots on Target under 5.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.