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MLSfinal

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 11:30 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
25.1%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Toronto FC winLong shothit
23.4%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoremiss
53.4%
roughly 1 in 2
Enlace permanente

Corners

New York Red Bulls — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
15.40
Shots for (last 5)
17.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
12.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

78.4%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Toronto FC — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
13.80
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.60
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
New York Red Bulls — Corners over 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
15.40
Shots for (last 5)
17.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
12.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
New York Red Bulls — Corners under 6.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
15.40
Shots for (last 5)
17.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
12.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.7%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Toronto FC — Corners under 4.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
13.80
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.60
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Toronto FC — Corners over 3.5miss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
13.80
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.60
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

56.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Anytime Goalscorer

Mijahir Jimenez to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player minutes (last 5)↑
55.00
Player key passes (last 5)
1.00
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

31.0%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
J. Sargent to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.25
Player minutes (last 5)↓
86.80
Player key passes (last 5)
1.40
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

25.3%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
J. Hall to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.25
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.75
Player minutes (last 5)
75.60
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

23.8%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente
D. Sallói to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.00
Player minutes (last 5)↓
84.60
Player key passes (last 5)
1.40
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

20.7%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

L. Gavran over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
16.60
Player saves (last 5)↓
5.00
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

45.7%
roughly 1 in 2
Enlace permanente
E. Horvath over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.40
Player minutes (last 5)↑
81.20
Shots against (last 5)↓
12.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

41.7%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'3' Gol (Toronto FC)3' Gol (Toronto FC) — J. Sargent82' Gol (Toronto FC) — D. Sallói
New York Red Bulls 0%
Empate 0%
Toronto FC 100%

Al minuto 90 (0-2): local 0%, empate 0%, visitante 100%.

Predicciones anuladas (8)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • New York Red Bulls — Shots on Target over 2.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Toronto FC — Shots on Target under 5.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Toronto FC — Shots on Target over 2.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • New York Red Bulls — Shots on Target under 5.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Toronto FC — Shots on Target under 4.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • New York Red Bulls — Shots on Target over 3.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • New York Red Bulls — Corners under 5.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Toronto FC — Shots on Target under 3.5Enlace permanente

    MLS shots-on-target paused 2026-10-16: the pooled props model never trained on MLS and under-predicted MLS shots on target by 11-16% (registry 2026-10-15, Todoist 6hmV8gr2VhFrWGh7). Withdrawn before kickoff; no outcome was known when voided.