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MLSfinal

Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 8:30 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

St. Louis City winLong shotmiss
31.4%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
23.6%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickhit
64.7%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickhit
63.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Corners

St. Louis City — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
7.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
15.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
13.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Minnesota United FC — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
12.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.20
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Minnesota United FC — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
12.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.20
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
St. Louis City — Corners under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
7.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
15.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
13.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Minnesota United FC — Corners under 5.5miss
Why
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
12.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.20
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Anytime Goalscorer

C. Holse to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.86
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.00
Player minutes (last 5)
77.80
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

42.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
K. Yeboah to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.80
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.80
Player minutes (last 5)↑
80.80
Player key passes (last 5)
0.40
Absence rate r10
0.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

42.1%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
S. Becher to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.70
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.40
Player minutes (last 5)↑
76.00
Player key passes (last 5)
0.50
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

37.5%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
T. Chancalay to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player shots (last 5)↑
1.75
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.75
Player minutes (last 5)
83.40
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.5%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

D. Callender over 3.5 saveshit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.60
Player minutes (last 5)↑
91.00
Corners against (last 5)↑
6.20
Player saves (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

47.4%
roughly 1 in 2
Enlace permanente
R. Bürki over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
13.20
Player saves (last 5)↓
2.20
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.20
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

39.7%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'4' Gol (St. Louis City)4' Gol (St. Louis City) — Rafael Navarro10' Gol (St. Louis City) — Jeong Sang-Bin49' Gol (Minnesota United FC) — A. Jackson68' Gol (Minnesota United FC) — K. Yeboah86' Gol (Minnesota United FC) — Marcus Caldeira
Minnesota United FC 92%
Empate 7%
St. Louis City 0%

Al minuto 90 (3-2): local 92%, empate 7%, visitante 0%.

Predicciones anuladas (9)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • St. Louis City — Shots on Target under 5.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Minnesota United FC — Shots on Target over 2.5Enlace permanente

    MLS shots-on-target paused 2026-10-16: the pooled props model never trained on MLS and under-predicted MLS shots on target by 11-16% (registry 2026-10-15, Todoist 6hmV8gr2VhFrWGh7). Withdrawn before kickoff; no outcome was known when voided.

  • St. Louis City — Shots on Target over 2.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Minnesota United FC — Shots on Target over 3.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Minnesota United FC — Shots on Target under 5.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • St. Louis City — Shots on Target under 4.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Minnesota United FC — Shots on Target under 4.5Enlace permanente

    MLS shots-on-target paused 2026-10-16: the pooled props model never trained on MLS and under-predicted MLS shots on target by 11-16% (registry 2026-10-15, Todoist 6hmV8gr2VhFrWGh7). Withdrawn before kickoff; no outcome was known when voided.

  • St. Louis City — Shots on Target over 3.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Marcel Hartel to scoreEnlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.