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SERIE_Afinal

Milan vs Bologna

Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 5:30 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
25.1%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Bologna winLong shothit
24.3%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Corners

Bologna — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↓
9.20
Corners for (last 5)↓
2.40
Rest days
4
xG for (last 5)
1.22
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.40
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Milan — Corners over 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.42
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
9.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Bologna — Corners under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↓
9.20
Corners for (last 5)↓
2.40
Rest days
4
xG for (last 5)
1.22
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.40
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Milan — Corners over 5.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.42
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
9.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Shots on Target

Milan — Shots on Target over 3.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.42
Rest days↑
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
9.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

79.7%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Bologna — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.40
xG for (last 5)↓
1.22
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
9.20
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
2.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Milan — Shots on Target over 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.42
Rest days↑
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
9.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Bologna — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.40
xG for (last 5)↓
1.22
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
9.20
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
2.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Bologna — Shots on Target under 3.5miss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.40
xG for (last 5)↓
1.22
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
9.20
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
2.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Cards

Las predicciones de tarjetas usan el árbitro promedio de la liga. El árbitro de un partido casi nunca está asignado cuando se hacen estas predicciones, unos tres días antes del partido, así que las tendencias del árbitro concreto no forman parte del modelo.

Milan — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days↓
2
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
xG for (last 5)
2.42
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
9.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Bologna — Cards over 1.5Bold pickhit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days↑
4
xG for (last 5)
1.22
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
9.20
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
2.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Bologna — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days↑
4
xG for (last 5)
1.22
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
9.20
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
2.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Milan — Cards over 1.5miss
Why
Rest days↓
2
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
xG for (last 5)
2.42
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
9.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Anytime Goalscorer

Federico Bernardeschi to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
84.40
Player key passes (last 5)
1.25
Absence rate r10
0.70

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

25.8%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Gonçalo Ramos to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.75
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.25
Player minutes (last 5)↓
88.80
Player key passes (last 5)
0.50
Absence rate r10
0.30

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

22.4%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente
R. Loftus-Cheek to scoreLong shot
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player minutes (last 5)↑
47.20
Player key passes (last 5)
2.25
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

21.9%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

Łukasz Skorupski over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
13.60
Corners against (last 5)↑
6.60
Player saves (last 5)↓
2.60
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

42.8%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
M. Maignan over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
9.60
Player saves (last 5)↓
3.40
Corners against (last 5)↓
3.00
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

32.6%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'8' Gol (Bologna) — S. Mbangula14' Gol (Milan) — A. Cissè27' Gol (Milan) — A. Cissè62' Gol (Bologna) — S. Mbangula86' Gol (Bologna) — S. Mbangula
Milan 0%
Empate 0%
Bologna 100%

Al minuto 90 (2-4): local 0%, empate 0%, visitante 100%.

Predicciones anuladas (7)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Milan — Corners under 6.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Milan — Corners over 3.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Milan — Shots on Target under 5.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Milan — Corners under 5.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Both teams to scoreEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Milan winEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Over 2.5 goalsEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.