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SERIE_Afinal

Torino vs Monza

Friday, October 23, 2026 at 6:45 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Monza winLong shotmiss
26.0%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
25.6%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente

Corners

Monza — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.22
Shots for (last 5)↑
15.60
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.80
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.55
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Torino — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
Shots for (last 5)↓
10.00
Rest days
4
xG for (last 5)
1.51
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
xG against (last 5)
1.52
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
1.25
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Torino — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
Shots for (last 5)↓
10.00
Rest days
4
xG for (last 5)
1.51
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
xG against (last 5)
1.52
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
1.25
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Monza — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.22
Shots for (last 5)↑
15.60
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.80
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.55
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Monza — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.22
Shots for (last 5)↑
15.60
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.80
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.55
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Torino — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
Shots for (last 5)↓
10.00
Rest days
4
xG for (last 5)
1.51
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
xG against (last 5)
1.52
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
1.25
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Shots on Target

Monza — Shots on Target over 2.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.22
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
6.80
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
15.60
xG against (last 5)
1.55
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.3%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Torino — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.40
xG for (last 5)↓
1.51
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
Shots for (last 5)
10.00
xG against (last 5)
1.52
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
1.25
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Torino — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.40
xG for (last 5)↓
1.51
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
Shots for (last 5)
10.00
xG against (last 5)
1.52
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
1.25
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Monza — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.22
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
6.80
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
15.60
xG against (last 5)
1.55
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Monza — Shots on Target over 3.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.22
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
6.80
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
15.60
xG against (last 5)
1.55
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Torino — Shots on Target under 4.5miss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.40
xG for (last 5)↓
1.51
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
Shots for (last 5)
10.00
xG against (last 5)
1.52
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
1.25
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Cards

Las predicciones de tarjetas usan el árbitro promedio de la liga. El árbitro de un partido casi nunca está asignado cuando se hacen estas predicciones, unos tres días antes del partido, así que las tendencias del árbitro concreto no forman parte del modelo.

Monza — Cards under 3.5hit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Reds for r5↑
0.33
Rest days
4
xG for (last 5)
2.22
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.80
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
15.60
xG against (last 5)
1.55
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

80.0%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Monza — Cards over 1.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Reds for r5↑
0.33
Rest days
4
xG for (last 5)
2.22
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.80
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
15.60
xG against (last 5)
1.55
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Torino — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Yellows for r5↓
1.25
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
4
xG for (last 5)
1.51
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
Shots for (last 5)
10.00
xG against (last 5)
1.52
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente

Anytime Goalscorer

G. Simeone to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.60
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player minutes (last 5)↓
85.20
Player key passes (last 5)
0.50
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

25.7%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Dany Mota to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.67
Player minutes (last 5)↑
48.20
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.50
Player goals (last 10)
0.10
Absence rate r10
0.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.9%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

Lucas Perri over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
15.80
Corners against (last 5)↑
4.20
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.75
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

47.6%
roughly 1 in 2
Enlace permanente
N. Törnqvist over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Player saves (last 5)↓
5.33
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.80
Shots against (last 5)↓
13.40
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

36.9%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'39' Gol (Torino) — K. Fitz-Jim47' Gol (Monza) — Gustavo Varela61' Gol (Torino) — R. Belghali72' Gol (Torino) — N. Vlašić
Torino 94%
Empate 6%
Monza 0%

Al minuto 90 (3-2): local 94%, empate 6%, visitante 0%.

Predicciones anuladas (6)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Monza — Shots on Target under 4.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Monza — Corners under 4.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Torino — Shots on Target over 3.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Torino winEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Both teams to scoreEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Over 2.5 goalsEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.