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SERIE_Afinal

Roma vs Genoa

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 6:45 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Roma winBold pickhit
61.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
23.0%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente
Genoa winLong shotmiss
15.0%
roughly 1 in 5
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Corners

Roma — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.41
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.00
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
11.80
xG against (last 5)
1.49
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
11.20
Corners against (last 5)
2.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

79.1%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Genoa — Corners under 5.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.60
xG for (last 5)↓
1.15
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.40
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
xG against (last 5)
1.52
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
3.00
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.7%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Roma — Corners over 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.41
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.00
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
11.80
xG against (last 5)
1.49
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
11.20
Corners against (last 5)
2.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Genoa — Corners under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.60
xG for (last 5)↓
1.15
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.40
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
xG against (last 5)
1.52
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
3.00
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Roma — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.41
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.00
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
11.80
xG against (last 5)
1.49
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
11.20
Corners against (last 5)
2.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Shots on Target

Roma — Shots on Target over 4.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.41
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.00
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
11.80
xG against (last 5)
1.49
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
11.20
Corners against (last 5)
2.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.8%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Genoa — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.15
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.40
Rest days
7
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.52
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
3.00
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Genoa — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.15
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.40
Rest days
7
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.52
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
3.00
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Roma — Shots on Target over 5.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.41
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.00
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
11.80
xG against (last 5)
1.49
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
11.20
Corners against (last 5)
2.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Cards

Las predicciones de tarjetas usan el árbitro promedio de la liga. El árbitro de un partido casi nunca está asignado cuando se hacen estas predicciones, unos tres días antes del partido, así que las tendencias del árbitro concreto no forman parte del modelo.

Roma — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Reds for r5↑
0.33
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
2.41
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Fouls for r5
11.80
Shots for (last 5)
19.00
xG against (last 5)
1.49
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
11.20
Corners against (last 5)
2.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Genoa — Cards over 1.5Bold pickhit
Why
Yellows for r5↑
3.00
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.15
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.40
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.52
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Genoa — Cards under 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Yellows for r5↑
3.00
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.15
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.40
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.52
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Roma — Cards over 1.5hit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Reds for r5↑
0.33
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
2.41
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Fouls for r5
11.80
Shots for (last 5)
19.00
xG against (last 5)
1.49
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
11.20
Corners against (last 5)
2.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Anytime Goalscorer

Donyell Malen to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.90
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.60
Player minutes (last 5)↑
66.00
Player key passes (last 5)
1.40
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

34.6%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Paulo Dybala to scoreLong shot
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.20
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.00
Player key passes (last 5)↑
3.80
Player minutes (last 5)
83.40
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

16.8%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

Justin Bijlow over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
15.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.60
Player saves (last 5)
3.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
Pierluigi Gollini over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
11.20
Corners against (last 5)↑
2.40
Player saves (last 5)↓
2.80
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

37.1%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'50' Gol (Roma) — S. Castro68' Gol (Roma) — E. Lulli
Roma 100%
Empate 0%
Genoa 0%

Al minuto 90 (2-0): local 100%, empate 0%, visitante 0%.

Predicciones anuladas (2)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Over 2.5 goalsEnlace permanente

    Slated 43 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Both teams to scoreEnlace permanente

    Slated 43 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.