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SERIE_Afinal

Milan vs Atalanta

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Atalanta winLong shotmiss
31.8%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
25.0%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scorehit
59.7%
roughly 3 in 5
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Corners

Atalanta — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
xG for (last 5)↓
1.21
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.40
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
xG against (last 5)
2.04
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
0.80
Shots against (last 5)
18.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Milan — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.00
Shots against (last 5)↑
9.40
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.55
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
11.20
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
2.20
Corners against (last 5)
3.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Milan — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.00
Shots against (last 5)↑
9.40
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.55
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
11.20
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
2.20
Corners against (last 5)
3.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Atalanta — Corners under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
xG for (last 5)↓
1.21
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.40
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
xG against (last 5)
2.04
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
0.80
Shots against (last 5)
18.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Milan — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.00
Shots against (last 5)↑
9.40
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.55
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
11.20
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
2.20
Corners against (last 5)
3.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Shots on Target

Milan — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.60
xG against (last 5)↑
1.30
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.55
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
11.20
Corners for (last 5)
3.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
9.40
Corners against (last 5)
3.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Atalanta — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG against (last 5)↓
2.04
xG for (last 5)↓
1.21
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.40
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
0.80
Shots against (last 5)
18.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Atalanta — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG against (last 5)↓
2.04
xG for (last 5)↓
1.21
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.40
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
0.80
Shots against (last 5)
18.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Milan — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.60
xG against (last 5)↑
1.30
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.55
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
11.20
Corners for (last 5)
3.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
9.40
Corners against (last 5)
3.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Cards

Las predicciones de tarjetas usan el árbitro promedio de la liga. El árbitro de un partido casi nunca está asignado cuando se hacen estas predicciones, unos tres días antes del partido, así que las tendencias del árbitro concreto no forman parte del modelo.

Milan — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Reds for r5↓
0.00
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.55
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
11.20
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Corners for (last 5)
3.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
9.40
Corners against (last 5)
3.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Atalanta — Cards over 1.5Bold pickhit
Why
Yellows for r5↓
0.80
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
5
xG for (last 5)
1.21
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.40
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
xG against (last 5)
2.04
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Shots against (last 5)
18.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.7%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Atalanta — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Yellows for r5↓
0.80
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
5
xG for (last 5)
1.21
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.40
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
xG against (last 5)
2.04
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Shots against (last 5)
18.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Anytime Goalscorer

N. Krstović to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player minutes (last 5)↑
65.40
Player key passes (last 5)
0.75
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

29.0%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
R. Loftus-Cheek to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player minutes (last 5)↑
47.20
Player key passes (last 5)
2.25
Absence rate r10
0.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

22.5%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente
Gonçalo Ramos to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.17
Player minutes (last 5)↓
89.00
Player key passes (last 5)
0.67
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

21.9%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente
F. Kessié to scoreLong shot
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.67
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.10
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.50
Player minutes (last 5)
73.80
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.1%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

M. Carnesecchi over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
18.60
Player saves (last 5)↓
4.20
Player minutes (last 5)↑
90.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

49.9%
roughly 1 in 2
Enlace permanente
M. Maignan over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
9.40
Player saves (last 5)↓
3.20
Corners against (last 5)↓
3.60
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

32.1%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'13' Gol (Milan)13' Gol (Milan) — C. Pulišić24' Gol (Milan) — Gonçalo Ramos43' Gol (Milan) — A. Rabiot57' Gol (Milan) — Mario Gila66' Gol (Atalanta) — G. Gaetano81' Gol (Atalanta) — N. Krstović
Milan 93%
Empate 7%
Atalanta 0%

Al minuto 90 (3-2): local 93%, empate 7%, visitante 0%.

Predicciones anuladas (2)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Over 2.5 goalsEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Milan winEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.