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SERIE_Afinal

Genoa vs Fiorentina

Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 1:00 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Genoa winLong shothit
32.7%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
27.5%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente

Corners

Fiorentina — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.91
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.80
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Fouls for r5
11.00
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.7%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Genoa — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.99
Shots against (last 5)↓
15.80
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.00
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Genoa — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.99
Shots against (last 5)↓
15.80
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.00
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Fiorentina — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.91
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.80
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Fouls for r5
11.00
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Fiorentina — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.91
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.80
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Fouls for r5
11.00
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Genoa — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.99
Shots against (last 5)↓
15.80
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.00
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Shots on Target

Fiorentina — Shots on Target over 2.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.91
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.60
Rest days
20
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
16.80
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

79.3%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Genoa — Shots on Target under 5.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.99
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.00
Rest days
20
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.9%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Genoa — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.99
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.00
Rest days
20
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Fiorentina — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.91
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.60
Rest days
20
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
16.80
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Genoa — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.99
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.00
Rest days
20
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Fiorentina — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.91
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.60
Rest days
20
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
16.80
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Cards

Las predicciones de tarjetas usan el árbitro promedio de la liga. El árbitro de un partido casi nunca está asignado cuando se hacen estas predicciones, unos tres días antes del partido, así que las tendencias del árbitro concreto no forman parte del modelo.

Fiorentina — Cards over 1.5Bold pickhit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days↓
20
xG for (last 5)
1.91
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
16.80
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Genoa — Cards over 1.5Bold pickhit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Reds for r5↑
1.00
Rest days
20
xG for (last 5)
0.99
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Fiorentina — Cards under 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days↓
20
xG for (last 5)
1.91
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
16.80
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Genoa — Cards under 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Reds for r5↑
1.00
Rest days
20
xG for (last 5)
0.99
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Anytime Goalscorer

Franco Mastantuono to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.80
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.50
Player minutes (last 5)
75.40
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

30.5%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Arthur Atta to scoreLong shot
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.25
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Absence rate r10↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)
67.00
Player key passes (last 5)
1.25

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

20.4%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

Justin Bijlow over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
15.80
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
3.25

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

43.6%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
David De Gea over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
11.80
Corners against (last 5)↑
3.80
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.00
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

38.6%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'7' Gol (Genoa)7' Gol (Genoa) — M. Osmajić15' Gol (Genoa) — Junior Messias
Genoa 93%
Empate 7%
Fiorentina 0%

Al minuto 90 (2-1): local 93%, empate 7%, visitante 0%.

Predicciones anuladas (3)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Both teams to scoreEnlace permanente

    Slated 43 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Over 2.5 goalsEnlace permanente

    Slated 43 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Fiorentina winEnlace permanente

    Slated 43 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.