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EPLfinal

Aston Villa vs Manchester City

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 11:30 AM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Aston Villa winLong shothit
24.7%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
24.3%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickhit
60.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Corners

Manchester City — Corners under 6.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.44
Shots for (last 5)↑
14.20
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.40
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Aston Villa — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
Shots for (last 5)↑
14.00
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
1.64
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.40
xG against (last 5)
1.50
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Manchester City — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.44
Shots for (last 5)↑
14.20
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.40
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Aston Villa — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
Shots for (last 5)↑
14.00
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
1.64
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.40
xG against (last 5)
1.50
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Manchester City — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.44
Shots for (last 5)↑
14.20
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.40
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Aston Villa — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
Shots for (last 5)↑
14.00
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
1.64
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.40
xG against (last 5)
1.50
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Shots on Target

Manchester City — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.44
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.40
Rest days
6
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.20
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Manchester City — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.44
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.40
Rest days
6
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.20
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Aston Villa — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.40
xG for (last 5)↑
1.64
Rest days
6
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.40
Shots for (last 5)
14.00
xG against (last 5)
1.50
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Aston Villa — Shots on Target under 5.5hit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.40
xG for (last 5)↑
1.64
Rest days
6
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.40
Shots for (last 5)
14.00
xG against (last 5)
1.50
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Cards

Las predicciones de tarjetas usan el árbitro promedio de la liga. El árbitro de un partido casi nunca está asignado cuando se hacen estas predicciones, unos tres días antes del partido, así que las tendencias del árbitro concreto no forman parte del modelo.

Aston Villa — Cards under 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Yellows for r5↓
1.60
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
1.64
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.40
Shots for (last 5)
14.00
xG against (last 5)
1.50
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Manchester City — Cards over 1.5Bold pickhit
Why
Yellows for r5↓
1.20
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
2.44
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.40
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.20
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Manchester City — Cards under 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Yellows for r5↓
1.20
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
2.44
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.40
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.20
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Anytime Goalscorer

Erling Haaland to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
1.10
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.60
Player minutes (last 5)↓
88.00
Player key passes (last 5)
0.80
Absence rate r10
0.30

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

37.5%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
N. Jackson to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.25
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.40
Player minutes (last 5)
79.60
Absence rate r10
0.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

29.4%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
J. Manzambi to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.75
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.25
Player minutes (last 5)
72.00
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

28.2%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

Z. Suzuki over 3.5 saveshit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
16.60
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Corners against (last 5)↑
4.20
Player saves (last 5)
3.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

46.8%
roughly 1 in 2
Enlace permanente
Gianluigi Donnarumma over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
13.20
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.80
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.40
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

40.0%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'6' Gol (Aston Villa) — N. Jackson
Aston Villa 55%
Empate 25%
Manchester City 20%

Al minuto 37 (1-0): local 55%, empate 25%, visitante 20%.

Predicciones anuladas (7)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Aston Villa — Shots on Target over 2.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Manchester City — Corners under 4.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Aston Villa — Shots on Target under 4.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Manchester City — Shots on Target under 4.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Manchester City — Shots on Target over 3.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Over 2.5 goalsEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Manchester City winEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.