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EPLfinal

Leeds United vs Manchester United

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Leeds United winLong shotmiss
37.2%
roughly 2 in 5
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Manchester United winLong shotmiss
36.6%
roughly 2 in 5
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Draw (90 min)Long shothit
26.1%
roughly 3 in 10
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Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickhit
61.2%
roughly 3 in 5
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Corners

Manchester United — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.93
Shots for (last 5)↑
20.80
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
1.64
Corners for (last 5)
6.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
11.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

79.0%
roughly 4 in 5
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Leeds United — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.79
Shots against (last 5)↓
14.80
Rest days
8
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.87
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.3%
roughly 7 in 10
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Manchester United — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.93
Shots for (last 5)↑
20.80
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
1.64
Corners for (last 5)
6.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
11.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.8%
roughly 7 in 10
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Leeds United — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.79
Shots against (last 5)↓
14.80
Rest days
8
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.87
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.4%
roughly 7 in 10
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Manchester United — Corners over 3.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.93
Shots for (last 5)↑
20.80
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
1.64
Corners for (last 5)
6.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
11.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.8%
roughly 3 in 5
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Shots on Target

Leeds United — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.79
xG against (last 5)↓
1.87
Rest days
8
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
14.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.5%
roughly 7 in 10
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Manchester United — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
20.80
xG for (last 5)↑
1.93
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
1.64
Corners for (last 5)
6.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
11.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Manchester United — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
20.80
xG for (last 5)↑
1.93
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
1.64
Corners for (last 5)
6.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
11.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.0%
roughly 7 in 10
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Leeds United — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.79
xG against (last 5)↓
1.87
Rest days
8
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
14.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.1%
roughly 3 in 5
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Cards

Las predicciones de tarjetas usan el árbitro promedio de la liga. El árbitro de un partido casi nunca está asignado cuando se hacen estas predicciones, unos tres días antes del partido, así que las tendencias del árbitro concreto no forman parte del modelo.

Leeds United — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Reds for r5↓
0.00
Rest days
8
xG for (last 5)
1.79
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Fouls for r5
11.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.87
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
14.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Manchester United — Cards over 1.5Bold pickhit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Reds for r5↓
0.00
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.93
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
20.80
xG against (last 5)
1.64
Corners for (last 5)
6.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
11.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Manchester United — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Reds for r5↓
0.00
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.93
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
20.80
xG against (last 5)
1.64
Corners for (last 5)
6.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
11.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.2%
roughly 3 in 5
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Anytime Goalscorer

Bryan Mbeumo to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player key passes (last 5)
2.00
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

30.6%
roughly 3 in 10
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Marcus Rashford to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.60
Player minutes (last 5)
71.00
Absence rate r10
0.70

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

27.8%
roughly 3 in 10
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Jayden Bogle to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player shots (last 5)↑
1.67
Player key passes (last 5)↑
0.80
Player minutes (last 5)
73.00
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

19.8%
roughly 1 in 5
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Goalkeeper Saves

James Trafford over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.80
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.60
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

43.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
Senne Lammens over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
11.40
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.40
Player saves (last 5)↓
3.20
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

38.5%
roughly 2 in 5
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Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'35' Gol (Manchester United) — B. Mbeumo51' Gol (Leeds United) — D. Calvert-Lewin
Leeds United 8%
Empate 84%
Manchester United 8%

Al minuto 90 (1-1): local 8%, empate 84%, visitante 8%.

Predicciones anuladas (1)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Over 2.5 goalsEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.