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EPLfinal

Brighton vs Crystal Palace

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
24.6%
roughly 1 in 5
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Crystal Palace winLong shotmiss
24.1%
roughly 1 in 5
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Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoremiss
59.7%
roughly 3 in 5
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Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalshit
58.5%
roughly 3 in 5
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Corners

Brighton — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.96
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.40
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
13.00
xG against (last 5)
2.01
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.75
Shots against (last 5)
12.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

78.4%
roughly 4 in 5
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Crystal Palace — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.40
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.00
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
8.80
xG against (last 5)
2.51
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
18.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.5%
roughly 7 in 10
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Brighton — Corners over 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.96
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.40
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
13.00
xG against (last 5)
2.01
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.75
Shots against (last 5)
12.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.3%
roughly 7 in 10
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Brighton — Corners under 6.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.96
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.40
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
13.00
xG against (last 5)
2.01
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.75
Shots against (last 5)
12.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.7%
roughly 3 in 5
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Crystal Palace — Corners under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.40
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.00
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
8.80
xG against (last 5)
2.51
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
18.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.5%
roughly 3 in 5
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Shots on Target

Brighton — Shots on Target over 3.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.96
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.40
Rest days
7
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
17.40
xG against (last 5)
2.01
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.75
Shots against (last 5)
12.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.6%
roughly 4 in 5
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Crystal Palace — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG against (last 5)↓
2.51
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.00
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
8.80
Corners for (last 5)
3.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
18.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.1%
roughly 7 in 10
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Crystal Palace — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG against (last 5)↓
2.51
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.00
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
8.80
Corners for (last 5)
3.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
18.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.7%
roughly 7 in 10
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Brighton — Shots on Target over 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.96
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.40
Rest days
7
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
17.40
xG against (last 5)
2.01
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.75
Shots against (last 5)
12.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.1%
roughly 3 in 5
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Cards

Las predicciones de tarjetas usan el árbitro promedio de la liga. El árbitro de un partido casi nunca está asignado cuando se hacen estas predicciones, unos tres días antes del partido, así que las tendencias del árbitro concreto no forman parte del modelo.

Brighton — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Fouls for r5↓
13.00
Yellows for r5↑
2.75
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.96
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.33
Shots for (last 5)
17.40
xG against (last 5)
2.01
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Shots against (last 5)
12.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60
Referee avg cards r10
4.16

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.1%
roughly 7 in 10
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Crystal Palace — Cards over 1.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Yellows for r5↓
1.40
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
8.80
Shots for (last 5)
11.00
xG against (last 5)
2.51
Corners for (last 5)
3.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Shots against (last 5)
18.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.7%
roughly 3 in 5
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Crystal Palace — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Yellows for r5↓
1.40
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
8.80
Shots for (last 5)
11.00
xG against (last 5)
2.51
Corners for (last 5)
3.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Shots against (last 5)
18.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Brighton — Cards over 1.5hit
Why
Fouls for r5↓
13.00
Yellows for r5↑
2.75
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.96
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.33
Shots for (last 5)
17.40
xG against (last 5)
2.01
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Shots against (last 5)
12.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60
Referee avg cards r10
4.16

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.9%
roughly 3 in 5
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Anytime Goalscorer

Charalampos Kostoulas to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.75
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.25
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.60
Player minutes (last 5)
78.00
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

22.1%
roughly 1 in 5
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Anan Khalaili to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
1.75
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.17
Player minutes (last 5)↓
87.00
Player key passes (last 5)
0.50
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

16.3%
roughly 1 in 5
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Goalkeeper Saves

Walter Benítez over 3.5 saveshit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
18.40
Corners against (last 5)↑
5.60
Player minutes (last 5)↑
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

50.9%
roughly 1 in 2
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Bart Verbruggen over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
12.80
Corners against (last 5)↑
5.60
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

39.0%
roughly 2 in 5
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Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'7' Gol (Brighton) — D. Gómez10' Gol (Brighton) — Y. Ayari49' Gol (Brighton) — C. Kostoulas84' Gol (Brighton) — J. Hinshelwood
Brighton 100%
Empate 0%
Crystal Palace 0%

Al minuto 90 (5-0): local 100%, empate 0%, visitante 0%.

Predicciones anuladas (1)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Brighton winEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.