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EPLfinal

Newcastle vs Aston Villa

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 4:30 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Aston Villa winLong shothit
28.8%
roughly 3 in 10
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Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
24.6%
roughly 1 in 5
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Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickmiss
63.6%
roughly 3 in 5
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Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickmiss
61.9%
roughly 3 in 5
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Corners

Aston Villa — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.00
xG against (last 5)↓
1.50
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.35
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
14.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.5%
roughly 7 in 10
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Newcastle — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.24
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.00
xG against (last 5)
1.70
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Newcastle — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.24
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.00
xG against (last 5)
1.70
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Newcastle — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.24
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.00
xG against (last 5)
1.70
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Aston Villa — Corners under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.00
xG against (last 5)↓
1.50
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.35
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
14.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.5%
roughly 3 in 5
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Shots on Target

Newcastle — Shots on Target over 2.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.24
Shots against (last 5)↓
15.80
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.40
xG against (last 5)
1.70
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.2%
roughly 4 in 5
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Newcastle — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.24
Shots against (last 5)↓
15.80
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.40
xG against (last 5)
1.70
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Aston Villa — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↓
12.40
Shots against (last 5)↓
14.80
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.35
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
1.50
Corners for (last 5)
3.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Aston Villa — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↓
12.40
Shots against (last 5)↓
14.80
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.35
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
1.50
Corners for (last 5)
3.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Newcastle — Shots on Target under 4.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.24
Shots against (last 5)↓
15.80
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.40
xG against (last 5)
1.70
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.7%
roughly 3 in 5
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Cards

Las predicciones de tarjetas usan el árbitro promedio de la liga. El árbitro de un partido casi nunca está asignado cuando se hacen estas predicciones, unos tres días antes del partido, así que las tendencias del árbitro concreto no forman parte del modelo.

Newcastle — Cards under 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Yellows for r5↓
1.60
Rest days
4
xG for (last 5)
1.24
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.40
xG against (last 5)
1.70
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Aston Villa — Cards over 1.5Bold pickhit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Reds for r5↓
0.00
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.35
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
xG against (last 5)
1.50
Corners for (last 5)
3.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
14.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Aston Villa — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Reds for r5↓
0.00
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.35
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
xG against (last 5)
1.50
Corners for (last 5)
3.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
14.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.4%
roughly 3 in 5
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Anytime Goalscorer

Nicolas Jackson to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)
75.80
Absence rate r10
0.70

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

32.6%
roughly 3 in 10
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J. Willock to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.40
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player minutes (last 5)↑
62.40
Player key passes (last 5)
0.50
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

22.6%
roughly 1 in 5
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Emiliano Buendía to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.22
Player shots (last 5)↑
1.75
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.20
Player minutes (last 5)
76.40
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.1%
roughly 1 in 5
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Goalkeeper Saves

L. Horníček over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
15.80
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.20
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.20
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

45.0%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
Zion Suzuki over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.80
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.20
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.60
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

43.5%
roughly 2 in 5
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Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'36' Gol (Aston Villa) — J. Manzambi
Newcastle 1%
Empate 9%
Aston Villa 90%

Al minuto 90 (0-1): local 1%, empate 9%, visitante 90%.

Predicciones anuladas (1)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Newcastle winEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.