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EPLfinal

Aston Villa vs Brentford

Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Draw (90 min)Long shothit
25.6%
roughly 3 in 10
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Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickhit
62.2%
roughly 3 in 5
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Corners

Aston Villa — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.00
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.00
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
2.40
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
9.60
xG against (last 5)
2.04
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
16.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

78.5%
roughly 4 in 5
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Brentford — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.19
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.20
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Fouls for r5
14.40
xG against (last 5)
1.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.7%
roughly 4 in 5
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Brentford — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.19
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.20
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Fouls for r5
14.40
xG against (last 5)
1.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.0%
roughly 7 in 10
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Aston Villa — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.00
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.00
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
2.40
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
9.60
xG against (last 5)
2.04
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
16.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Brentford — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.19
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.20
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Fouls for r5
14.40
xG against (last 5)
1.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Shots on Target

Brentford — Shots on Target over 2.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.19
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.20
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Fouls for r5
14.40
xG against (last 5)
1.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.7%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Aston Villa — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
2.40
xG for (last 5)↓
1.00
Rest days
21
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
9.60
xG against (last 5)
2.04
Corners for (last 5)
3.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
16.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Brentford — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.19
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.20
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Fouls for r5
14.40
xG against (last 5)
1.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Aston Villa — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
2.40
xG for (last 5)↓
1.00
Rest days
21
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
9.60
xG against (last 5)
2.04
Corners for (last 5)
3.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
16.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Brentford — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.19
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.20
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Fouls for r5
14.40
xG against (last 5)
1.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.4%
roughly 3 in 5
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Cards

Las predicciones de tarjetas usan el árbitro promedio de la liga. El árbitro de un partido casi nunca está asignado cuando se hacen estas predicciones, unos tres días antes del partido, así que las tendencias del árbitro concreto no forman parte del modelo.

Brentford — Cards over 1.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days↓
21
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
xG for (last 5)
2.19
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Fouls for r5
14.40
Shots for (last 5)
16.20
xG against (last 5)
1.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Aston Villa — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Reds for r5↑
1.00
Rest days
21
xG for (last 5)
1.00
Shots on target for (last 5)
2.40
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
9.60
xG against (last 5)
2.04
Corners for (last 5)
3.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
16.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Brentford — Cards under 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days↓
21
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
xG for (last 5)
2.19
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Fouls for r5
14.40
Shots for (last 5)
16.20
xG against (last 5)
1.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Aston Villa — Cards over 1.5Bold pickhit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Reds for r5↑
1.00
Rest days
21
xG for (last 5)
1.00
Shots on target for (last 5)
2.40
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
9.60
xG against (last 5)
2.04
Corners for (last 5)
3.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
16.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.2%
roughly 3 in 5
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Anytime Goalscorer

Kevin Schade to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.70
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.25
Player minutes (last 5)↓
89.60
Player key passes (last 5)
0.60
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

32.6%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Igor Thiago to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.40
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
88.60
Player key passes (last 5)
0.67
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

23.3%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente
Nicolas Jackson to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player minutes (last 5)↑
65.00
Player key passes (last 5)
0.67
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

22.3%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente
Emiliano Buendía to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.00
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)
80.80
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

16.5%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

Zion Suzuki over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
16.20
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

43.9%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
Caoimhin Kelleher over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
13.40
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.00
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

39.9%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'10' Gol (Brentford) — Yehor Yarmoliuk11' Gol (Brentford)12' Gol (Aston Villa) — N. Jackson77' Gol (Aston Villa) — J. McGinn79' Gol (Brentford) — K. Ajer
Aston Villa 9%
Empate 83%
Brentford 8%

Al minuto 90 (2-2): local 9%, empate 83%, visitante 8%.

Predicciones anuladas (3)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Over 2.5 goalsEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Aston Villa winEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Brentford winEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.