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EPLfinal

Liverpool vs Manchester City

Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 3:30 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Manchester City winLong shothit
38.0%
roughly 2 in 5
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Liverpool winLong shotmiss
37.0%
roughly 2 in 5
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Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
25.0%
roughly 1 in 5
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Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickmiss
64.8%
roughly 3 in 5
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Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickhit
62.4%
roughly 3 in 5
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Corners

Liverpool — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.85
Corners for (last 5)↓
4.00
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
15.20
xG against (last 5)
1.36
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.60
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
11.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.7%
roughly 7 in 10
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Manchester City — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.33
Shots for (last 5)↑
13.60
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
6.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.5%
roughly 7 in 10
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Manchester City — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.33
Shots for (last 5)↑
13.60
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
6.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.1%
roughly 7 in 10
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Liverpool — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.85
Corners for (last 5)↓
4.00
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
15.20
xG against (last 5)
1.36
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.60
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
11.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.9%
roughly 3 in 5
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Manchester City — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.33
Shots for (last 5)↑
13.60
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
6.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.9%
roughly 3 in 5
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Liverpool — Corners over 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.85
Corners for (last 5)↓
4.00
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
15.20
xG against (last 5)
1.36
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.60
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
11.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.3%
roughly 3 in 5
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Shots on Target

Manchester City — Shots on Target over 2.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.33
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.40
Rest days
21
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.60
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
6.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.7%
roughly 4 in 5
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Manchester City — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.33
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.40
Rest days
21
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.60
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
6.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.4%
roughly 7 in 10
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Liverpool — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.85
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.80
Rest days
21
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
15.20
xG against (last 5)
1.36
Corners for (last 5)
4.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.60
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
11.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Manchester City — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.33
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.40
Rest days
21
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.60
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
6.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.4%
roughly 3 in 5
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Cards

Las predicciones de tarjetas usan el árbitro promedio de la liga. El árbitro de un partido casi nunca está asignado cuando se hacen estas predicciones, unos tres días antes del partido, así que las tendencias del árbitro concreto no forman parte del modelo.

Liverpool — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days↓
21
xG for (last 5)
1.85
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
15.20
xG against (last 5)
1.36
Corners for (last 5)
4.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.60
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
11.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.2%
roughly 7 in 10
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Manchester City — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Yellows for r5↓
1.20
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
21
xG for (last 5)
2.33
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.60
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
6.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.0%
roughly 7 in 10
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Manchester City — Cards over 1.5Bold pickhit
Why
Yellows for r5↓
1.20
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
21
xG for (last 5)
2.33
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.60
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
6.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.4%
roughly 3 in 5
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Anytime Goalscorer

Erling Haaland to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
1.00
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.60
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player key passes (last 5)
0.33
Absence rate r10
0.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

43.6%
roughly 2 in 5
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Alexander Isak to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.60
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.40
Absence rate r10↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)
83.00
Player key passes (last 5)
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

32.1%
roughly 3 in 10
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Cody Gakpo to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.20
Player minutes (last 5)
74.20
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

24.1%
roughly 1 in 5
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Goalkeeper Saves

Alisson over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
11.60
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.40
Player saves (last 5)↓
2.80
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

38.0%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
Gianluigi Donnarumma over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
11.80
Player saves (last 5)↓
2.80
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.20
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

38.0%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'62' Tarjeta roja (Liverpool) — Ryan Gravenberch65' Gol (Manchester City) — E. Haaland68' Gol (Manchester City) — J. Doku78' Gol (Manchester City) — R. Cherki
Liverpool 0%
Empate 0%
Manchester City 100%

Al minuto 90 (0-3): local 0%, empate 0%, visitante 100%.